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The Federal Reserve's recent 50-basis point rate cut has sparked optimism in equity markets, with the S&P 500 reaching a record high and a year-to-date gain of 20.2%. This easing cycle is expected to support oil prices, projected to rise to around USD 87 a barrel by year-end, while gold has surged nearly 29% this year, potentially reaching USD 2,700 by mid-2025. However, the US dollar faces pressure as the Fed's cuts diminish its yield advantage, prompting investors to seek alternatives and diversify internationally.
Ethereum's price is influenced by the People's Bank of China's economic stimulus and potential easing of monetary policy, which may drive investors towards crypto assets. Attention is also on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's upcoming speech and US price data, with the presidential election campaign adding further market dynamics. Polls show Kamala Harris slightly ahead of Donald Trump, who is viewed as more crypto-friendly.
Nestlé's recovery is bolstering the Swiss stock market as global markets react to the Fed's recent half-point rate cut, which has raised expectations for another cut in November. Analysts emphasize the Fed's intent to safeguard the labor market, with key inflation data and remarks from several Fed officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell, set to shape future monetary policy.
UBS Asset Management maintains a neutral stance on various asset classes amid signs of slowing growth and inflation. While European high yield offers attractive yields, credit spreads are close to cyclical lows, limiting potential price rises. The firm favors the Japanese yen due to anticipated monetary policy tightening and prefers US Treasuries for their improved hedging capacity.
The US Federal Reserve has cut its target range for the Fed Funds Target Rate by 50 basis points to 4.75% to 5%, with projections indicating further reductions could bring rates to between 4.25% and 4.5% by year-end. Despite the significant cut, the Fed maintains a cautious approach, emphasizing that future decisions will be data-dependent, and further cuts are expected to be gradual, with a target rate of 3.4% projected for 2025.
The Federal Reserve is set to cut interest rates for the first time since 2020, with options of a 25 or 50 basis point reduction. Market sentiment leans towards a 50 bps cut, but expectations suggest a more cautious 25 bps reduction may be likely, reflecting mixed economic signals. The upcoming FOMC meeting will also provide insights through economic projections and the dot-plot chart, influencing market reactions, particularly in Forex and U.S. equities.
Ethereum's price has surged ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting, where a decision on interest rates is anticipated. Investors are speculating on a potential rate hike of 25 or 50 basis points, with a 63% probability of a 50 basis point cut. Additionally, the US election campaign is expected to influence market dynamics, particularly following a recent debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, with hopes for a crypto-friendly administration.
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